2024 Recession Prediction In. Is going to head into one in 2024 after fears about a 2023 recession haven’t come to pass yet. Economy in 2024 and 2025.
The fed’s latest forecast is for the jobless rate to edge higher from 3.8% in 2023 to 4.1% in 2024, that’s a continuation of the current trend, and one that would see the us skirting a. The sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise in a smoothed version of unemployment rate over the course of a year, as developed by economist claudia.